Jan 23, 2025 · Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races.

Dr. Sabato is the editor and lead author of the newly released book, “A Return to Normalcy?: The 2020 Election that (Almost) Broke America,” which explores the 2020 election and its outcome. Professor Sabato heads up Sabato’s Crystal Ball, which has won numerous awards.

Nov 4, 2024 · To read recent stories on the race for the Senate, click here. 2024 Senate ratings Updated: Nov. 4, 2024 2024 Senate races

Nov 4, 2024 · Jump to: Electoral College Senate Governor House Electoral College rating changes Nov. 4, 2024 State/District Old Rating New Rating Arizona Toss-up Leans Republican Georgia Toss-up Leans Republican Iowa Safe Republican Likely Republican Michigan Toss-up Leans Democratic NE-1 Safe Republican Likely Republican Nevada Toss-up Leans …

Nov 4, 2024 · To read recent stories on the race for the House, click here. 2024 House ratings Updated Nov. 4, 2024

Jun 29, 2023 · KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Our initial 2024 Electoral College ratings start with just four Toss-up states. — Democrats start with a small advantage, although both sides begin south of what they need to win. — We consider a rematch of the 2020 election — Joe Biden versus Donald Trump — as the likeliest […]

The Center for Politics was founded in 1998 by Larry J. Sabato at the University of Virginia to overcome the notion that politics thwarts the proper function of government. We think politics makes public policy more vibrant and makes bureaucracies more responsive.

Aug 28, 2024 · Search Sabato's Crystal Ball The 2024 Gubernatorial Races: Premier NC Race Moves to Leans Democratic Amidst Lack of Competition Elsewhere Author J. Miles Coleman and Kyle Kondik

Oct 9, 2024 · KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — Most expect the presidential race to be “close,” but what does that actually mean? — The 6 most recent presidential elections provide some parameters—and set a high bar.

Nov 4, 2024 · PS: Thank you for reading Sabato’s Crystal Ball, published by the Center for Politics at UVA. In addition to the Crystal Ball, your support helps us provide free civics education and inspire Americans to engage in democracy.