Donald Trump has won Iowa and Kansas, the AP projects. His victory in Iowa is particularly notable given that a poll released over the weekend, from Ann Seltzer, sent shockwaves through the political class, as it showed Kamala Harris leading by 3 percentage points.

And those two states could go a long way toward Trump’s most plausible paths to victory. If he wins them and the non-swing states go as expected, Trump would need only 20 more e