The Fed’s Dot-Plot Predicament: False Precision in Uncertain Times Investors treat the Fed’s rate projections as a promise from central bankers. They’re not.

The Federal Reserve maintained its previously expected pace of rate cuts but signaled higher inflation and a slowdown in economic growth for 2025.

The amount of attention on the Fed’s “dot plot” partly reflects the lack of suspense for a meeting at which interest rates are widely expected to be left alone.

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The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate.