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How do yield curves work? It is possible to use any combination of maturity dates to form a yield curve. The illustration of yields across different maturities helps investors measure the risks ...
The yield curve is a graph illustrating how yields (interest payments) from bonds and other interest-bearing securities vary depending on the length of their terms to maturity. “Term to maturity ...
TORONTO - For the first time since before the Great Recession, the yield curve on two- and 10-year U.S. government bonds has inverted, a possible warning that another recession is on the way.
The same yield curve has been inverted for around 20 months since October 2022. But past recessions have struck with up to a 23-month lag, Harvey noted. "We're still not out of the woods," he said ...
I’m talking about the Treasury yield curve, or more specifically, the “2-10 spread.” Take a look at the MoneyShow Chart of the Week for July 15, 2024 below.
Our U.S. 10-Yr yield Fair Value model is also hinting at an imminent inversion given its estimated fair value at 2.54% and 3M yields at 2.47% (vs. actual 10-yr yield hovering around 2.80% currently).
Judging by fluctuations in government bond yields, the U.S. may or may not be flirting with recession. Amid festering fears about global growth, the U.S. yield curve temporarily inverted, an ...
The yield curve has been inverted for 20 months without a recession striking. Any recession the curve is predicting has been stalled by resilient US economic strength.
It worked until it didn’t. After global stocks’ 2022 decline, yield curves inverted globally. Recession fears surged. Investors gnashed. Yet lending grew. US, eurozone and global GDP expanded.
The 10-year (US10Y) and 2-year (US2Y) Treasury yields reached 4%, with the curve inverting early on Monday for the first time since August. The move comes after Friday's blowout jobs report. The ...