The U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday chose to hold interest rates steady, as widely expected, and signaled that it was in no hurry to adjust its policy stance. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC ...

The bond market shows unusual bear steepening, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term. Learn how investors should ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

The yield curve has preceded most US recessions since World War II, giving it a reputation as a reliable leading economic indicator. Fisher Investments agrees it is useful, yet many misinterpret ...

Through 2023 and 2024, the spread between bond yields and cash rates was persistently and sometimes deeply negative. Read ...

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The Treasury yield curve could flatten in the wake of Trump’s weekend tariff announcements, ING said.

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...