National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
WEB3 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.6% Trump 45.9% Oct. 1, 2024 leader Oct. 1, 2024 leader Harris Harris +2.6. KEY.
U.S. Senate Polls - FiveThirtyEight
WEB3 days ago · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
Kamala Harris : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEB3 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political …
Donald Trump : Favorability Polls - FiveThirtyEight
WEB2 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political …
How Popular Is Joe Biden? | FiveThirtyEight
WEB3 days ago · Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Statistical model by G. Elliott Morris.
President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEB2 days ago · Poll type. State. Cycle. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read …
National : President: Republican primary : 2024 Polls
WEB3 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political …
Pollster Ratings - FiveThirtyEight
WEBSep 12, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodology of each firm’s polls.
National : President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEBJan 10, 2023 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
WEB3 days ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 21 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 4 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 35 out of 100.